Trump's New Math: Inside the Plan to Flip Blue States in 2020. Survive and Thrive March 2023: How Long Have You Been in the Investment Business? States losing seats included Illinois, Michigan,. But the cultural wounds cut the deepest, and are the most likely to drive working-class people to look at the coastal elites and say: "That. Thirty of Penn's 44 counties gave Trump 60% of the vote. After all, it's only at the center of the political universetonight. While some red counties shifted to the left, larger margins of victory than Clinton in already-blue countieswas the primary force thatdrove Biden to victory. Sacrificing the Future to China for Bidens Green New Deal. 2023 Electoral Ventures LLC. (PA, GA, MI)". It further claims that from 1976 to 2004, in an attempt to avoid favoritism in color-coding, the broadcast networks standardized the convention of alternating every four years between blue and red the color used for the incumbent president's party. Further highlighting this polarization: While relatively competitive overall, only four states (FL, NC, OH, VA) were decided by less than 5% popular vote margin in the 2012 presidential election. The. Special elections, if any, are excluded. Be the first to know breaking news, delivered only when a big story is developing. Crime rate U.S. 2020, by state. This is nice, but you do realize that Maryland has elected Republican governors 3 of the last 5 elections and currently has a Republican sitting in the capital. Also, theres a run off in Georgia so you may have two strikes incorrect. Differing shades of red and blue compound this effect.[25]. Red States 1 Arizona 1 Alabama 2 California 2 The "blue wall" went blue once again Democratic. Overall, Pennsylvania is a blue state 49 percent of registered voters are Democrats, 37 percent are Republicans and 14 percent are independents or members of minor parties. because red and blue state designations . How red or blue is your state? They think even if it moved a few votes it could be enough to win thestate. The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee also alluded the color scheme when it launched a national "Red to Blue Program" in 2006. In a 2020 update from the Rockefeller Institute, the disparity between traditional blue and red states is even more significant, especially for the state of New York, Republicans' favorite target . Three Michigan counties flipped from red to blue. [1] According to The Washington Post, journalist Tim Russert invented these terms during his televised coverage of the 2000 United States presidential election. As a group, adults younger than age 40 voted for Obama. But registration figures vary greatly by county. Pennsylvania's CPVI is R+2. Georgia: Red, blue or purple? Which means he's a Nebraska-02 (where he's currently leading) away from hitting 270 on the number, WITHOUT Pennsylvania and Maine's 2ndDistrict. You have entered an incorrect email address! During the 2016 presidential election, two districts (the first and second) gave Clinton over 80% and 90% of the vote. All but 10 states1 1Plus one congressional district in Nebraska had voted consistently Democratic or Republican for (at least) the prior four consecutive presidential elections. We may not know results in PA fordays. In his address before the 2004 Democratic National Convention in Boston, Barack Obama spoke on the issue of blue states and red states, saying: "The pundits like to slice-and-dice our country into red states and blue states red states for Republicans, and blue states for Democrats. Trump wanted to drive more votes out of it; Biden wanted to cut his losses. Source: NYT exit polls: 24,537 surveyed[54], Source: CNN exit polls: 24,558 surveyed[55], Democratic I'm totally zeroed in on Pennsylvania tonight. Massachusetts is a blue state with a red governor making red states look worse on mortality. But, in the coming days, Pennsylvania underwent what has come to be known as a "blue shift." Democrats had requested more mail-in ballots than Republicans had by a margin of two to one. In the 2000 election, Bush received a smaller share of the popular vote than Al Gore, and four years later defeated John Kerry by this count by less than two and a half percentage points. Iapologize.). Democrats' new logo: Change you can sell? The source defines a mass shooting as a shooting where three or more people. There was one historical use, associated with boss rule, of blue for Democrats and red for Republicans: during the late 19th century and early 20th century, Texas county election boards used color-coding to help Spanish-speaking and illiterate voters identify the parties;[8] however, this system was not applied consistently in Texas and was not replicated in any other state. 2023 Electoral Ventures LLC. More than 75% of the land area is red, when looking at the map based on land areas, while shifting to the population view only about 46% of the map is red. Wisconsin is a swing, or purple, state. By breaking the map down into smaller units (including many blue counties lying next to red counties), these maps tend to display many states with a purplish hue, thus demonstrating that an ostensibly blue or red state may, in fact, be closely divided. The Hill . For the GOP, this represented 179 electoral votes. Telling tweet from election law expert Rick Hasen: "Biggest surprise of the election watch for me so far: Florida's election administration doesn't make my top 3 of places I'm worried about. Electoral law in Maine and Nebraska makes it possible for those states to divide their electoral votes: winner-take-all both by congressional district and statewide. More than a . Several incidents will require follow-up byinvestigators. Regarding national politics, it is historically a "Red" state although in recent national elections it has gone"blue". By opting into newsletters you are agreeing to our. Data: MIT Election Data and Science Lab / Harvard Dataverse through 2018; 270toWin research. Seven months into the coronavirus crisis, the states with the most severe unemployment in the country all seem to have one thing in common: They vote blue. To view the purposes they believe they have legitimate interest for, or to object to this data processing use the vendor list link below. The crowd cheers as U.S. President Donald Trump speaks during a 'Make America Great Again' campaign rally at Williamsport Regional . Due to the general absence of overwhelming victories, this technique results in mostly shades. But in western Pennsylvania, as well as the northeast, it's more popular and has led to a boom in some areas that have been struggling economically for a long time. Mitchell Thorson, Kevin Crowe, Dian Zhang, and Dan Keemahill contributed to this report. With proper treatments well known including proper dosages (vs. WHO stating in 1979 the potentially lethal dose of HCQ was 1500-2000 mg then attempted a study at 2400 mg in one day, that was designed to both fail and kill.) In September, just eight states had. It is now seen that the Democratic Blue and Republican Red color scheme is now part of the lexicon of American journalism. 2020 Electoral Map Results. Likewise, Republicans have elected many statewide officeholders in states that vote strongly Democratic in presidential elections, such as Massachusetts, Illinois, Maryland, Vermont, and New Jersey. Again competitive in 2020, Joe Biden won by 1.2%.While still an important prize, with 19 electoral votes, Pennsylvania, like many industrial northern states, has seen population migrate away in recent decades. And West Virginia is losing. Trump's lone breakthrough in the "blue wall" in 2020 was the one electoral vote from Maine, which he again won. Although the Electoral College determines the presidential election, a more precise measure of how the country actually voted may be better represented by either a county-by-county or a district-by-district map. The vast majority of reported incidents involved concerns about unlawful electioneering or interference at polling sites. Are You with Someone Whos Been Cookin for Decades? [15][16][17] NBC used the color blue for the incumbent party, which is why blue represented the Democrats in 2000. [1] NBC newsman David Brinkley famously referred to the 1980 election map outcome showing Republican Ronald Reagan's 44-state landslide in blue as resembling a "suburban swimming pool".[14]. With all eyes on Georgia and the upcoming Senate runoffs slated for Jan. 5, 2021, Emory College Dean Michael A. Elliott hosted a panel discussion Dec. 2 examining Georgia's new swing-state status and future role in American politics from business, marketing . Each tend to show some patterns well while obscuring others. [39] In 2008, 48 percent of U.S. voters lived in such counties, which increased further to 50 percent in 2012 and to 61 percent in 2016. The state's 20 electoral votes could be pivotal in the 2020 race. Similarly, Tennessee was won by Bush in both 2000 and 2004, but going into 2004, its governor was a Democrat and both chambers of the state legislature were controlled by Democrats as well. ", For example, Holly, one example from Jen OMalley Dillon, Bidens campaign manager, that implied they were still counting on Pa could be seen in this quote. ABC used yellow for Republicans and blue for Democrats in 1976, then red for Republicans and blue for Democrats in 1980, 1984, and 1988. Counties are colored red or blue when the % expected vote reporting reaches a set threshold. That made a difference in a state that was ultimately decided by roughly 45,000votes. Is Missouri a red state? Secondly, I'm looking to see if we get a sense tonight of how many "naked ballots" there are in the state. Various different maps, such as ones which coded states based on the strength of their support for one candidate or another, ones which gave results based on county, or ones which displayed states according to the size of their population, were proposed as correctives to this perceived flaw. The map was placed in the network's election-night news studio. Despite the prevalent winner-take-all practice, the minority always gets a sizable vote. #V. But maps that color entire counties red or blue can dupe viewers: they make both states . An email has been sent to with a link to confirm list signup. Rural Clinton County, near State College, is the most politically balanced county, with 43 percent Republicans and 43 percent Democrats. The state now has just half the 38 electoral votes it had a century ago. The blue states scored better two ways higher overall average rankings vs. red states (No. The Tennessee Department of Health reports that 1,451 people died of drug overdose within the state in 2015. That solved the problem. Pennsylvania's diversity is mostly on par with the rest of the nation. Pennsylvania voted democratic in the 2020 election. But the distinction between the two groups of states is less simplistic. In recent elections, there have been a dozen or more truly competitive battlegrounds which could result in many various paths to 270 electoral votes. Sorry Marc. Which parts of Pennsylvania are red and blue -- or something in between? The elections in Arkansas as well as West Virginia in 2004 were won by Republican President George W. Bush, but Democrats at the time held all four U.S. Senate seats and majorities of elected executive officeholders in those states, including the governorship of the latter. The choices of color and shading likewise affect the map's appearance. Catholic and Protestant Christians were more likely to vote for McCain than for Obama, whereas voters of other faiths, as well as secular atheist and agnostic voters, predominantly favored Obama. Latino voters in the state, like those across the U.S., constitute a solid base for Democrats. All states contain considerable amounts of both liberal and conservative voters (i.e., they are "purple") and only appear blue or red on the electoral map because of the winner-take-all system used by most states in the Electoral College. It is not a red state. Trump:70,760 (61.01%) Nevertheless, both parties have adopted logos that use their respective colors i.e., a blue D for Democrats and a white GOP with a red elephant for Republicans. Dane County is home to Madison, the second-largest city in Wisconsin. A purple state refers to a swing state where both Democratic and Republican candidates receive many votes without an overwhelming majority for either party. And this basic arithmetic is in place even before voters factor in the disgraceful fact that VP candidate Kamala Harris is a self-admitted BLM-backed Marxist. He served as governor from 2003 to 2011 and was also the mayor of Philadelphia. These "purple maps" are useful for showing the highly mixed nature of voting, but are extremely difficult to interpret in detail. This may have been a holdover from the Civil War, during which the predominantly Republican north was considered "blue". Cash, Money, Green: How Will You Feel in Retirement? The analysis that suggests political, cultural and demographic differences between the states is more accurate when applied to smaller geographical areas. .mw-parser-output .citation{word-wrap:break-word}.mw-parser-output .citation:target{background-color:rgba(0,127,255,0.133)}^1: Split their votes. I feel like my job this entire night might be explaining why #nothingmatters inPA. *Counties are colored red or blue when the % expected vote reporting reaches a set threshold. An example of data being processed may be a unique identifier stored in a cookie. President-elect Joseph R. Biden Jr. took back Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin by surging in the suburbs. [41][note 1][42]. The Keystone State became one of the three collapsed Democratic Blue Wall states that handed Trump the election. FiveThirtyEight's forecast currently expects these states to step slightly to the left in 2020, but there's a lot of uncertainty here, especially in a state like Maine where the error bars. The following list is tabled from the last Presidential Election 2020. With the election year underway, we put together a state map that lays out the political landscape, based on February voter registration figures from the Pennsylvania Department of State. Voters head to the polls on Nov. 3 in Pennsylvania, a critical battleground state that boasts 20 electoral votes. Independent candidate Ralph Nader did not win any electoral votes, yet he received 2% of the vote of voters from high-income households and voters with graduate degrees. While there are various techniques available, the choice is essentially arbitrary. (This list is made as per the party winner of the Presidential election in each state [Not Governor], Here the Red represents Donald Trump whereas the Blue represents Joe Biden). If the U.S. followed such a pattern, blue would be used for the Republicans and red for the Democrats. Thirty of Penns 44 counties gave Trump 60% of the vote. Obama also came close to winning Missouri and Montana, losing both by a small margin. Pennsylvania's median household income falls in the middle of the pack. McCain held the more suburban and rural areas of both the red and blue states, while Obama received the large majority of the urban city areas in all the states. The four "mega-states" have established rival and increasingly polarized visions of state government-one blue, the other red. But Biden won the most votes in the most populous county, also called Jefferson. Here are the 10 states with the largest Democratic advantage: Wyoming - R+26 West Virginia - R+23 North Dakota - R+20 Oklahoma - R+20 If you're curious how long the streak is for each state, visit our 'Same Since' Electoral Map Timeline. All Rights Reserved. [34][35][36], In 1976, only 27 percent of U.S. voters lived in landslide counties, which increased to 39 percent by 1992. The Online Home of Author and Investor, Dick Young, President Donald J. Trump delivers remarks on Americas Energy Dominance and Manufacturing Revival Tuesday, Aug. 13, 2019, at the Shell Pennsylvania Petrochemicals Complex in Monaca, Pa. (Official White House Photo by Tia Dufour). Americas Colleges Have Become Progressive Liberal Rat Holes, Russia and the High Priesthood of the Neocon Synod, DeSantis Hits the Road for Law and Order Tour. However, as inGeorgia, the majority of Biden's gains came from larger vote margins in counties that also voted Democratic in 2016.

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